|
8 August 2008. The Royal Bank of Scotland has reported a loss of £ 691 million for the 1st half of 2008. This is the first loss reported by the bank in its 40 years as a public company and the second biggest loss ever reported by a UK bank. The results were serverly hurt by the write-downs of £5.9 billion. Many believe that shareholders will now demand the removal of either the Chairman or Group Chief Executive. An extract from the Group's press release follows.
THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP plc 2008 FIRST HALF HIGHLIGHTS Pro forma • Pre-tax loss of £691 million after credit market write-downs of £5.9 billion • Underlying profit* of £5.1 billion, down 3% • Capital ratios ahead of plan on a proportional consolidated basis: • Core Tier 1 - 5.7% • Tier 1 - 8.6% • Total - 13.1% • GBM balance sheet deleveraged by £157 billion since March** • ABN AMRO integration ahead of plan • Adjusted earnings per ordinary share down 10% to 21.3p • Cost:income ratio unchanged at 48.2% • Adjusted net interest margin improved slightly to 2.02% Statutory • Loss before tax of £692 million • Basic earnings per ordinary share (6.6p) • Core Tier 1 capital ratio 6.7% • Tier 1 capital ratio 9.1% • Total capital ratio 13.2% *profit before tax, credit market write-downs and one-off items, amortisation of purchased intangibles, integration costs and share of shared assets. **reduction in third party assets, excluding derivatives THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP plc RESULTS SUMMARY – PRO FORMA First half First half Full year 2008 2007 Movement 2007 £m £m £m Total income (1) 16,835 17,076 (241) 33,564 Operating expenses (2) 8,285 8,403 (118) 16,618 Impairment losses 1,479 936 543 2,104 Underlying profit (3) 5,144 5,322 (178) 10,314 Credit market write-downs and one-off items 5,113 7 5,106 1,026 Purchased intangibles amortisation 182 43 139 124 Integration costs 316 55 261 108 (Loss)/profit before tax (691) 5,115 (5,806) 8,962 Cost:income ratio (4) 48.2% 48.2% 48.4% Basic earnings per ordinary share (5) (4.7p) 22.8p (27.5p) 42.4p Adjusted earnings per ordinary share (5, 6) 21.3p 23.6p (2.3p) 46.1p For basis of preparation of pro forma results see page 49. Reconciliations from statutory to pro forma data are provided in Appendix 1. (1) excluding credit market write-downs and one-off items and share of shared assets. (2) excluding one-off items, purchased intangibles amortisation, integration costs and share of shared assets. (3) profit before tax, credit market write-downs and one-off items, purchased intangibles amortisation, integration costs and share of shared assets. (4) the cost:income ratio is based on total income and operating expenses as defined in (1) and (2) above, and after netting operating lease depreciation against rental income. (5) earnings per ordinary share are based on the assumption that the rights issue was completed on 1 January 2007. (6) adjusted earnings per ordinary share is based on earnings adjusted for credit market write-downs and one-off items, purchased intangibles amortisation, integration costs and share of shared assets. Sir Fred Goodwin, Group Chief Executive, said: "The first half of 2008 has been as difficult an operating environment as we have encountered for some time, presenting both general and specific challenges to RBS. The results we have published today demonstrate progress in a number of important areas, and it is all the more unsatisfactory, therefore, that they record a loss as a result of our credit market write-downs. We are determined to ensure that the inherent strengths of the Group’s diverse business model are not obscured in this way again." THE ROYAL BANK OF SCOTLAND GROUP plc RESULTS SUMMARY - STATUTORY First half First half Full year 2008 2007 Movement 2007 £m £m £m £m Total income 13,729 14,690 (961) 30,366 Operating expenses (1) 10,571 6,396 4,175 13,942 Impairment losses 1,661 871 790 1,968 (Loss)/profit before tax (692) 5,008 (5,700) 9,832 Basic earnings per ordinary share (6.6p) 32.3p ( 38.9p) 65.6p GROUP CHIEF EXECUTIVE’S REVIEW The Group’s results for the first half of 2008 have been seriously affected by the impact of unprecedented market conditions on a number of our business lines. It has been a chastening experience and reporting a pre-tax loss of £691 million is something I and my colleagues regret very much. This loss is a consequence of previously signalled write-downs on credit market exposures amounting to £5.9 billion. In response to these new market conditions we moved decisively to strengthen our capital position materially. In so doing we are acutely aware that we drew heavily on our shareholders for financial support and we recognise that we must now deliver a level of performance that meets their expectations for the company and restores value to our shares. We are determined to do so, and this is our focus. This is the first occasion on which we have presented results in the new Group structure announced in February 2008, and our strategic pursuit of earnings diversification is evident in the underlying numbers. The earnings performance of our businesses has been resilient, and we have made considerable progress on the separation and integration of ABN AMRO. Excluding the write-downs and other one-off items, the Group’s income totalled £16,835 million, down 1%, and underlying profit declined by 3% to £5,144 million. Underlying net interest margin improved slightly to 2.02%, as we have begun to take advantage of the increased risk premia available in most markets. Operating expenses have been reduced by 1% to £8,285 million, leaving our cost:income ratio flat at 48.2%. We have achieved a good performance in UK Retail & Commercial Banking, reinforcing our leading market positions with, for example, 12% growth in personal savings and 10% in mortgage balances. We have generated good growth in our newer markets in Asia, where deposits are up 34%, and in the Gulf, while results from our newly created Global Transaction Services division have reinforced our confidence that this business will provide us with a very strong platform from which to broaden our services to our clients globally. RBS Insurance has also performed well, with contribution recovering strongly as claims fell from the high flood-affected levels recorded in 2007. Clearly, market conditions have been difficult for our US Retail and Commercial Banking division, despite which we have achieved positive net interest income growth, reflecting a focus on disciplined management of our deposit base, as well as good growth in US commercial lending, up 13%. Global Banking & Markets has been affected by credit market conditions both through the write-downs incurred on some of its positions and through subdued volumes of activity, for example in securitisation. In our rates, currencies and local markets business, however, we have achieved excellent growth with income up by 87%, and we have significantly enhanced our commodities platform through our joint venture with Sempra. Impairments increased to £1,479 million. While we have as yet seen only a modest deterioration in corporate and commercial credit metrics, we are keeping in close contact with our customers and continue to monitor early indicators of credit stress vigilantly. In a selected number of segments that now offer more attractive risk-adjusted returns, we have taken the opportunity to increase lending volumes. Write-downs on our credit market portfolio totalled £5,925 million, in line with the estimates we announced in April, offset by an £812 million reduction in the carrying value of own debt held at fair value. We have been actively reducing our credit market portfolio, disposing of a number of holdings at prices that have often been higher than we had estimated in April. We reduced our leveraged finance portfolio from £14.5 billion at the end of 2007 to £10.8 billion at 30 June, and in July sold another £1.25 billion of leveraged loans. While these leveraged disposals have been at better prices than we had assumed in April, we have increased the credit valuation adjustment on our exposures to monoline insurers as credit spreads have widened. The credit market write-downs are the subject of detailed additional disclosure which we are publishing today in line with the guidance issued by the Financial Stability Forum and our regulators. These can be found at Appendix 2. ABN AMRO integration The process of separating the ABN AMRO businesses and transferring them to their ultimate owners is proceeding smoothly. Asset Management and Banca Antonveneta passed successfully to their new owners during the first half while the transfer of Banco Real and certain other businesses to Santander concluded last month. We expect to complete the transfer of Private Clients to Fortis in the first half of 2009 and the remainder of the Netherlands activities will follow in the second half of 2009. Most shared assets have already been dealt with, leaving only some small private equity holdings and the Saudi Hollandi stake. As announced in February, we have identified additional cost savings and revenue benefits from the integration of ABN AMRO over and above those we originally anticipated. Our forecast is now for integration benefits totalling €2.3 billion annually (£1.6 billion) in 2010, almost four times the underlying profit before tax achieved in 2007 by the businesses we have acquired. We are currently ahead of schedule in realising those benefits, with the amounts delivered so far running at almost twice what we anticipated at this early stage of the integration process. In the six months to June we have made cost savings ranging from headcount reductions to economies as mundane as cutting the price paid for printer cartridges. Together, these savings have contributed £135 million pre-tax profit to our first half results. In addition, we achieved £57 million of revenue synergies within our enlarged business in the first half, and now have concrete evidence from a stream of new business that we are achieving real gains from our broader footprint and product range. The trading environment for credit markets and equities is currently dislocated, but the strategic rationale for the acquisition remains intact. Our global client franchises and complementary product strengths have materially enhanced Global Banking & Markets, while our Global Transaction Services platform has given us the capability to cross-sell a much greater range of cash management and trade finance services to our UK and global clients. We are also pleased with the international retail and commercial businesses we have acquired, while the implementation of our manufacturing model on a global basis presents us with the opportunity to reduce costs significantly. Capital From our review of market conditions, we concluded in April that we needed to materially strengthen our capital base, and that to accomplish this we needed to conduct the rights issue which was completed in June. Our capital plan set a target for our capital ratios to exceed 5.0% for core Tier 1 and 7.5% for Tier 1 by mid-year, on a proportional consolidated basis. In fact, our Core Tier 1 ratio at 30 June stood at 5.7% and we are on course to achieve our target level, in excess of 6%, by the end of the year. Our Tier 1 ratio at 30 June was 8.6%, already in excess of our target minimum. Our disposal plans are on track, and we have already announced agreements that contribute £1 billion to capital, including the already-completed sales of Angel Trains and European Consumer Finance and the recently announced agreement to sell our stake in Tesco Personal Finance to our joint venture partner. As we entered 2008 we experienced an increase in customer drawings on existing credit lines, which increased in the first quarter. We have, however, taken decisive action to deleverage our business, particularly in GBM, where we have reduced third party assets, excluding derivatives, by £108 billion since the end of 2007. We have concentrated on improving the risk/return profile of our balance sheet while continuing to support our customers. We will continue to make further reductions in leverage during the second half. The Board believes, as we stated in April, that it is prudent to issue new shares by way of a capitalisation of reserves, instead of paying an interim dividend. We have decided on a capitalisation issue of 1 new ordinary share for every 40 shares held, which is in line with last year's interim dividend. We have established a share-dealing facility that will enable eligible shareholders to sell up to 250 shares, including new shares from the capitalisation issue, free of charge. It remains the Board’s intention that the 2008 final dividend will be paid in cash. Risk Our overall credit portfolio remains resilient, with a slight reduction in impairments in UK Retail & Commercial Banking but an increase in impairments, from a low base, in both GBM and US Retail & Commercial Banking. We are, however, anticipating that the credit environment will become more challenging, and are positioning ourselves accordingly. We have increased our impairment charge by £543 million to £1,479 million, which on an annualised basis represents 0.46% of loans and advances. For the Group as a whole, non-performing and potential problem loans at 30 June represented 1.47% of loans and advances, very slightly lower than at the end of 2007. Our provision balance at the end of June totalled £5.0 billion, covering 56% of non-performing loans. Within the UK, we have already seen some increased strains particularly among small business clients, but this has been offset in the first half by a further reduction in personal unsecured losses, as a result of our conservative approach to this segment in recent years. The US has seen somewhat higher delinquencies in its core mortgage and home equity book, but the deterioration in credit quality has been most marked, as we have reported before, in a specific home equity portfolio sourced from other originators. This activity has been shut down and the book is in run-off. The remainder of the Citizens book is of much stronger credit quality, with an average loan to value ratio of 64% on residential property. Commercial credit quality remains stable. Commercial property accounts for 15% of our loan book, and while there have been concerns over conditions in this sector in some countries, our portfolio remains well diversified, both by geography and by type of development, with only 3% of our UK lending advanced at loan to value ratios above 85%. We have for several years maintained strict limits on lending for speculative developments, and in our UK book only 1% of commitments secured on commercial property is for speculative development. Our UK mortgage portfolio also remains strong, with an average LTV of 66% on new business and of 49% on our entire book. Impairments remain negligible, representing 0.04% of UK mortgage balances. We have never been prominent in the buy-to-let segment, and this category represents, as we stated in June, only 1% of our UK loan book, with an average LTV of 56%. Outlook The difficult conditions in the financial markets look set to be compounded by a deteriorating economic outlook, with consensus forecasts pointing to slowing growth in many countries. In recognition of this our main priority, and indeed our main challenge, is to position our businesses to enable them to remain supportive of our customers whilst operating within a risk appetite appropriate to market conditions. Whilst the dislocation of global financial markets which began in 2007 makes this task more complex, it also has the effect of increasing the risk premium available on most business lines. We now have many new products and services to offer to our enlarged customer base, and these provide us with opportunities for income growth, whilst the synergies arising from the integration of the newly acquired businesses promise meaningful efficiency gains. Sir Fred Goodwin Group Chief Executive |